THURSDAY, June eleven, 2020 (HealthDay News) — Here is a glimmer of hope about the new coronavirus: New analysis finds it appears to comply with a seasonal pattern that is equivalent to the flu.
Experts uncovered that all metropolitan areas/locations with big COVID-19 outbreaks have equivalent winter climates, with an regular temperature of 41 to fifty two degrees Fahrenheit, regular humidity stages of forty seven% to seventy nine%, and are found within just a latitude band of thirty to fifty N.
This involves Wuhan, China South Korea Japan Iran Northern Italy Seattle and northern California.
The conclusions also suggest that U.S. mid-Atlantic states might be at hazard, as very well as New England, according to scientists at the Institute of Human Virology (IHV) at the University of Maryland School of Drugs (UMSOM) and the World-wide Virus Network (GVN).
“Based on what we have documented so much, it appears that the virus has a tougher time spreading amongst people today in warmer, tropical climates,” reported analyze leader Dr. Mohammad Sajadi, an associate professor of drugs at UMSOM, health practitioner-scientist at IHV, and a member of GVN.
The scientists utilized climate knowledge from the previous couple months, as very well as standard climate designs from previous yr, to predict group unfold of COVID-19 within just the next couple weeks.
The next stage is to identify if climate and weather forecasts could make the predictions additional trusted.
Study co-author Dr. Anthony Amoroso reported, “I believe what is vital is that this is a testable speculation.” Amoroso is an associate professor of drugs at UMSOM and chief of clinical treatment plans for IHV.
“If it retains accurate, it could be incredibly valuable for wellness program preparing, surveillance and containment initiatives,” he included in an institute information release.
The analyze was printed on the web June eleven in JAMA Network Open.
In accordance to Dr. Robert Gallo, an IHV co-founder and director, co-founder and chairman of the Intercontinental Scientific Management Board of GVN, and a professor at UMSOM, “As a result of this comprehensive analysis, it has been established that climate modeling could potentially reveal the unfold of COVID-19, making it probable to predict the locations that are most probably to be at larger hazard of sizeable group unfold in the in close proximity to long run.”
— Robert Preidt
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Resource: Institute of Human Virology, information release, June eleven, 2020